Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.003397 0.003791 0.004201 0.004660 0.005158 0.005681 0.006271
2024-10-20 0.002697 0.003239 0.003836 0.004539 0.005340 0.006223 0.007263
2024-10-27 0.002315 0.002935 0.003648 0.004519 0.005547 0.006716 0.008137
2024-11-03 0.002007 0.002670 0.003458 0.004453 0.005663 0.007075 0.008834
2024-11-10 0.001788 0.002483 0.003336 0.004442 0.005822 0.007469 0.009563
2024-11-17 0.001595 0.002306 0.003205 0.004401 0.005928 0.007788 0.010196
2024-11-24 0.001493 0.002236 0.003199 0.004509 0.006214 0.008326 0.011101
2024-12-01 0.001319 0.002054 0.003032 0.004394 0.006205 0.008486 0.011532
2024-12-08 0.001207 0.001946 0.002955 0.004389 0.006329 0.008812 0.012173
2024-12-15 0.001164 0.001932 0.003002 0.004549 0.006673 0.009425 0.013190
2024-12-22 0.001094 0.001872 0.002980 0.004610 0.006882 0.009862 0.013986
2024-12-29 0.001052 0.001851 0.003009 0.004741 0.007187 0.010431 0.014963
2025-01-05 0.001018 0.001840 0.003055 0.004900 0.007538 0.011076 0.016063
2025-01-12 0.000908 0.001702 0.002907 0.004772 0.007485 0.011173 0.016433
2025-01-19 0.000836 0.001620 0.002835 0.004751 0.007578 0.011467 0.017071
2025-01-26 0.000760 0.001524 0.002736 0.004683 0.007598 0.011657 0.017567
2025-02-02 0.000704 0.001457 0.002678 0.004672 0.007698 0.011958 0.018217
2025-02-09 0.000646 0.001383 0.002603 0.004629 0.007747 0.012186 0.018768
2025-02-16 0.000624 0.001370 0.002627 0.004741 0.008030 0.012749 0.019795
2025-02-23 0.000559 0.001274 0.002508 0.004622 0.007957 0.012800 0.020099
2025-03-02 0.000521 0.001224 0.002462 0.004616 0.008056 0.013097 0.020756
2025-03-09 0.000514 0.001235 0.002521 0.004783 0.008424 0.013794 0.021996
2025-03-16 0.000491 0.001211 0.002518 0.004846 0.008631 0.014257 0.022904